Publication Type

Journal Article

Publication Date (Issue Year)

2024

Journal Name

Research on World Agricultural Economy

Abstract

The macroeconomic determinants of the share of the economy contributed by the forestry industry in Ghana were examined over the period from 1975 to 2023, based on the development of time-series cointegration and error correction models. The analysis indicated that the share of the forestry industry was positively influenced by the real value of the cocoa industry, the exchange rate, and the real interest rate. The relationship between the forestry industry's share and per capita real gross domestic product (GDP) was found to be curvilinear: at low levels of per capita income, the share of the forestry industry in the economy increased with increasing income; beyond a certain level of per capita income, the share of the forestry industry declined. Additionally, economic shocks, namely the El Nino weather phenomenon, and political instability, related to the occurrence of military coups, were identified as negative influences on the share of the economy attributed to the forestry industry.

Keywords

Determinants of forestry output, Forestry economics; Ghana; Macroeconomic analysis of industry; Marginalization; Resource economics

Rsif Scholar Name

Joseph Manzvera

Rsif Scholar Nationality

Zimbabwe

Cohort

Cohort 3

Thematic Area

Food security and Agribusiness

Africa Host University (AHU)

University of Ghana (UoG), Ghana

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