Publication Type

Journal Article

Publication Date (Issue Year)

2024

Journal Name

PLOS Climate

Abstract

Largegapsremainin ourunderstandingof thevulnerabilityof specificanimaltaxaandregionsto climatechange,especiallyregardingextremeclimateimpactevents.Here,weassessAfricanapes,flagshipandhighlyimportantumbrellaspeciesforsympatricbiodiver-sity.Weestimatedpast(1981–2010)andfutureexposureto climatechangeimpactsacross363sitesin AfricaforRCP2.6andRCP6.0fornearterm(2021–2050)andlongterm(2071–2099).WeusedfullyharmonizedclimatedataanddataonextremeclimateimpacteventsfromtheInter-SectoralImpactModelIntercomparisonProject(ISIMIP).Historicdatashowthat171siteshadpositivetemperatureanomaliesforat leastnineof thepasttenyearswiththestrongestanomalies(upto 0.56 ̊C)estimatedforeasternchimpanzees.Climateprojec-tionssuggestthattemperatureswillincreaseacrossallsites,whileprecipitationchangesaremoreheterogeneous.Weestimateda futureincreasein heavyprecipitationeventsfor288sites,andanincreasein thenumberof consecutivedrydaysbyupto 20daysperyear(maxi-mumincreaseestimatedforeasterngorillas).Allsiteswillbefrequentlyexposedto wildfiresandcropfailuresin thefuture,andthelattercouldimpactapesindirectlythroughincreaseddeforestation.84%of sitesareprojectedto beexposedto heatwavesand78%of itestoriverfloods.Tropicalcyclonesanddroughtswereonlyprojectedforindividualsitesin westernandcentralAfrica.Wefurthercompiledavailableevidenceonhowclimatechangeimpactscouldaffectapes,forexample,throughheatstressanddehydration,a reductionin tersourcesandfruittrees,andreducedphysiologicalperformance,bodycondition,fertility,andsurvival.Tosupportnecessaryresearchonthesensitivityandadaptabilityof Africanapestoclimatechangeimpacts,andtheplanningandimplementationof conservationmeasures,weprovidedetailedresultsforeachapesiteontheopen-accessplatformA.P.E.S.Wiki

Keywords

Exposure, African, apesites, climatechange, impacts

Rsif Scholar Name

Issaka Abdou Razakou KIRIBOU

Rsif Scholar Nationality

Burkina Faso

Cohort

Cohort 4

Thematic Area

Climate Change

Africa Host University (AHU)

Haramaya University, Ethiopia

Funding Statement

Wearegratefultothefollowingorganizationswhichorga-nizedthetraining:theSenckenbergMuseumofNaturalHistoryGo ̈rlitz(Germany),theGer-anCentreforIntegrativeBiodiversityResearch(iDiv)Halle-ena-eipzig(Germany),theCentreSuissedeRecherchesScientifiques—CSRS(Coˆted’Ivoire),theDianFosseyGorillaFundinKinigi—DFGF(Rwanda),theIUCNSSCPrimateSpecialistGroup—SectiononGreatApes(PSG-SGA),Re:wild(USA)andtheAfricanPrimatologicalSociety(APS).Weparticu-larlythankProf.InzaKoneandDr.WinnieEckardtfortheirspecialinvestmentinthesuccessofthisworkshopwhichenabledthecollaborativeworkforthisresearch.WethankAmandaKorstjensandPriyamvadaBagariaforhelpfulcommentsonearlierdraftsofthismanuscript.

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